Abstract
Sri Lanka’s population is predicted to age very fast during the next 50 years, bringing a potential slowdown of labor force
growth and after 2030 its contraction. Based on a large and detailed survey of old people in Sri Lanka, conducted in 2006,
the paper examines labor market consequences of this process, focusing on employment outcomes of old workers and the reasons
and determinants of labor market withdrawal. The paper finds that a vast majority of Sri Lankan old workers are engaged in
the informal sector, work long hours, and are paid less than younger workers. Moreover, using hard evidence, it shows that
labour market duality characterizing most developing countries carries over to old age: (i) previous employment is the most
important predictor of the retirement pathway; (ii) older workers fall into two categories: formal sector workers, who generally
stop working before age 60 because of mandatory retirement regulations, and casual workers and the self-employed, who, due
to poverty, work till very old ages and stop working primarily because of poor health; and (iii) the option of part-time work
is used primarily by former formal sector workers.
growth and after 2030 its contraction. Based on a large and detailed survey of old people in Sri Lanka, conducted in 2006,
the paper examines labor market consequences of this process, focusing on employment outcomes of old workers and the reasons
and determinants of labor market withdrawal. The paper finds that a vast majority of Sri Lankan old workers are engaged in
the informal sector, work long hours, and are paid less than younger workers. Moreover, using hard evidence, it shows that
labour market duality characterizing most developing countries carries over to old age: (i) previous employment is the most
important predictor of the retirement pathway; (ii) older workers fall into two categories: formal sector workers, who generally
stop working before age 60 because of mandatory retirement regulations, and casual workers and the self-employed, who, due
to poverty, work till very old ages and stop working primarily because of poor health; and (iii) the option of part-time work
is used primarily by former formal sector workers.
- Content Type Journal Article
- Pages 1-23
- DOI 10.1007/s12062-011-9045-5
- Authors
- Milan Vodopivec, World Bank, Washington, DC, USA
- Nisha Arunatilake, Institute of Policy Studies, Colombo, Sri Lanka
- Journal Journal of Population Ageing
- Online ISSN 1874-7876
- Print ISSN 1874-7884