Publication year: 2011
Source: Social Science & Medicine, In Press, Accepted Manuscript, Available online 2 June 2011
Richard D., Smith , Marcus R., Keogh-Brown , Tony, Barnett
There is concern regarding the impact that a global infectious disease pandemic might have, especially the economic impact in the current financial climate. However, preparedness planning concentrates more upon population health and maintaining a functioning health sector than on the wider economic impact. We developed a single country Computable General Equilibrium model to estimate the economic impact of pandemic influenza (PI) and associated policies. While the context for this development was the United Kingdom, there are lessons to be drawn for application of this methodology, as well as indicative results, to other contexts.Disease scenarios were constructed from an epidemiological model…