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Life Potential as a Basic Demographic Indicator

Abstract  

This paper proposes an indicator that integrates life expectancy with the demographic structure of the population for a given
society. By doing this, we have a simple indicator of mortality and aging combined, which could be very useful for developed
societies. As is widely known, life expectancy at birth is independent of the demographic structure of the population, and
therefore is adequate for measuring overall mortality. However, it neglects to take into account the fact that as life expectancy
increases society ages, and so looking at life expectancy alone can produce an overly optimistic view of the development process,
especially if we pay attention to future sustainability. Aging can in fact affect quality of life and sustainability in the
long run. The indicators for aging are usually very crude, such as providing information on the share of the population who
are 65 and over. We propose a simple indicator that integrates life expectancy at different ages, not only at birth, with
the demographic structure of the population at a given point in time. The indicator has an intuitive interpretation in terms
of the life potential, or biological capital, of society; and given that it is a weighted average, its changes can be easily
decomposed into reductions in mortality (gains in life expectancy) and aging for different age intervals.

  • Content Type Journal Article
  • Pages 1-12
  • DOI 10.1007/s11205-011-9942-2
  • Authors
    • Francisco J. Goerlich, University of Valencia and Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas (Ivie), Valencia, Spain
    • Ángel Soler, University of Valencia and Instituto Valenciano de Investigaciones Económicas (Ivie), Valencia, Spain
    • Journal Social Indicators Research
    • Online ISSN 1573-0921
    • Print ISSN 0303-8300
Posted in: Journal Article Abstracts on 10/07/2011 | Link to this post on IFP |
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